You didn't need Nostradamus to predict the Labor and union blasts when the government released its industrial relations reforms this week.
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But who - except the few in the know - would have foreseen the government-union-Labor unity ticket to land a massive "hit" on very bad boy John Setka?
The legislative rush to pass the bill allowing parts of unions - by which we mean divisions of the Construction, Forestry, Maritime, Mining And Energy Union - to leave the mothership was remarkable. There was tripartite agreement on getting this done instantly.
Setka, the Victorian boss of the union's construction division, has over the years been a bane for the Labor Party, the ACTU and others in his own union. He's been an industrial rogue and the union has caused endless trouble; as well, his private life was in the public domain, with a conviction for harassing his wife.
After a battle, Anthony Albanese finally forced Setka to resign from the ALP last year. ACTU secretary Sally McManus was not as successful when she tried to get him to step down from his union position.
The Setka forces in the construction division were making life hell for the union's president, Tony Maher, who heads the mining division, and national secretary Michael O'Connor, chief of the manufacturing division. Eventually, both resigned their national posts.
Then came the fightback. Maher hatched a plot with an unlikely new friend, Industrial Relations Minister Christian Porter, for the demerger legislation.
The workplace implications of COVID-19 had brought Porter and Maher together, as they did Porter and McManus.
Porter was delighted to dance - the government had been after the construction union for years, but had been thwarted.
To get the deed done this week, Albanese's support was needed, and given. When caucus discussed the legislation on Tuesday, no one opposed it. Michael O'Connor is the brother of Labor frontbencher Brendan O'Connor, so there's a lot of knowledge within Labor about the CFMMEU's "internals".
On Wednesday, Porter introduced the bill at 9.34am; it passed the House at 10.16am. At 4.38pm it went into the Senate; it was done by 5.15pm.
Next year Maher's mining division will head out of the CFMMEU; the manufacturing division may follow. Setka will still be around and is unlikely to change his ways. The union will be weakened, but its escapees will be able to get on with more ordinary industrial lives.
The "fix" to deal with the CFMMEU had been extremely quick (at least at the end) and supremely united. In contrast, bedding down the government's industrial relations changes will be an extended and argumentative process.
The government's omnibus bill covers wide ground, including the treatment of casuals and the transition to permanent employment; changes to enterprise bargaining; part-time flexible working conditions; stronger penalties for wage theft and underpayment; and new arrangements for greenfield sites.
The initial big flashpoint is the plan to streamline and loosen the better-off-overall test (BOOT). The BOOT considers whether workers would be better off if a proposed agreement applied rather than the relevant award.
The existing legislation allows the BOOT to be put aside if there are "exceptional circumstances".
The proposed change effectively makes COVID-19 an "exceptional circumstance" for two years before the clause sunsets. The safeguards are that the Fair Work Commission would have to consider the extent of support for an agreement from workers and employers, as well as the public interest.
Unions and Labor say COVID-19 has affected businesses so broadly that this would be a pathway to general wage cutting. Porter argues it would be used only on a "small handful" of occasions, and says it's absurd to suggest businesses doing well could apply.
Importantly, Porter has flagged he's open to compromise on the BOOT and other measures in the bill.
The government insists its ambitions are modest. Asked on 6PR what the reforms were trying to achieve, Porter said: "This isn't about changing the fundamentals of the system; it's about fixing problems."
The omnibus bill won't be voted on until February or March. Although the government is anxious to deliver some reform, it does not want an acrimonious debate to drag on deep into 2021. Scott Morrison likes to play politics on his ground and his terms, and industrial relations is very rocky terrain for the Coalition. It's always good for a Labor scare campaign, with WorkChoices still within sharp political memory.
While the government is willing to compromise to minimise Labor's scope to make industrial relations a major election issue, Albanese is desperate to stoke the conflict. For the Opposition Leader, the omnibus bill is manna.
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Albanese is ending the year in a bad place. His problems go beyond COVID-19 putting a restraint on the opposition. There is now substantial questioning of his leadership among his colleagues, to the extent he can't any longer be sure he'll lead the party to the election.
The other issue Labor will be looking to early next year is the future of the superannuation guarantee.
It's obvious the government would like to overturn the legislated rise from 9.5 per cent to 10 per cent (and progressively to 12 per cent) set to begin in July.
But politically this would be tricky, and that's apart from the need to get Senate support. The argument that without the rise wages would be higher is disputed by critics.
If the government devised a trade-off - for example, letting people use some of their super for a first home - that might be an attractive middle course.
In political terms, Labor will be hoping the government simply attempts to stop further increases because, like the industrial relations debate, this would be a useful campaign issue.
Both sides know many of the legacies of COVID-19 will last a very long time. But if we remain relatively virus-free, politics in 2021 should become more normal than in 2020. And that will affect strategies on both sides.
- Michelle Grattan is a press gallery journalist and former editor of The Canberra Times. She is a professorial fellow at the University of Canberra and writes for The Conversation, where her columns also appear.