The last week of a political campaign used to be frantic, behind the scenes. In public, right up until the final week, the leaders would make all sorts of promises, many of them expensive, with nary a mention of the spending cuts or tax increases that would be needed to pay for them.
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Then, in a ritual as Australian as the stump-jump plough, days before the vote the leaders' treasury spokespeople would quietly release pages and pages of costings detailing "savings", which (astoundingly) almost exactly covered what they were spending, meaning they could declare their promises "fully funded".
It was a trap for oppositions. Whereas governments seeking re-election could have their savings costed by the enormously well-resourced departments of treasury and finance before campaigns began, oppositions were forced to rely on little-known accounting firms with little background in government budgeting.
The errors, usually not discovered until after people voted, were humiliating.
Costings time was danger time
In 2010, a Treasury analysis of the opposition costings prepared by the Coalition's treasury spokesman Joe Hockey and finance spokesman Andrew Robb found errors including double counting, booking the gains from a privatisation without booking the dividends that would be lost, and purporting to save money by changing a budget convention.
The Gillard government evened the playing field in 2011 by setting up an independent Parliamentary Budget Office to provide oppositions with the same sort of high-quality advice governments got, helping ensure they didn't make mistakes, and enabling them to publish the advice in the event of disputes.
Ahead of the 2019 election the PBO processed 3000 requests, most them confidential.
This means you should take with a grain of salt Treasurer Josh Frydenberg's assertion that Labor has "not put forward one policy for independent costing by Treasury or Finance" - these days opposition costings are done by the PBO.
But the PBO didn't end the costings ritual. In fact, it institutionalised it.
The Charter of Budget Honesty improved things
Then that game stopped. Since 1998, Howard's Charter of Budget Honesty has required the Treasury and Department of Finance to publicly reveal the state of the books before each election, making "surprise" impractical.
Which is why the parties have remained keen to get in early and find savings.
Sometimes, savings backfire
In 2016, this led to a human and financial tragedy. Treasurer Scott Morrison announced what came to be called "robodebt" three days before the election as part of a savings package, designed to offset spending. It was to save $2 billion.
Five years later in the Federal Court, Justice Bernard Murphy approved the payment of $1.7 billion to 443,000 people he said had been wrongly branded "welfare cheats", ending what he called a "shameful chapter" in Australia's history.
The costings document the Coalition released on Tuesday is less dramatic.
It says it will offset $2.3 billion in new spending over four years, with a $2.7 billion boost in the efficiency dividend it imposes on departments to restrain spending.
Labor abandons the game
Labor will release its costings on Thursday, and here's what's changed: it says it won't offset its spending.
Shadow treasurer Jim Chalmers wants to be judged not on the size of spending, but on what the spending is for.
"The most important thing here is not whether deficits are a couple of million dollars each year better or worse than what the government is proposing. What matters most is the quality of the investments," he says.
He points to the hundreds of millions borrowed to support the economy during the pandemic, the $20 billion he says was spent on companies that didn't need it, and the $5.5 billion spent on French submarines that now won't be built.
In sporting parlance, Chalmers has walked away from the field.
- Peter Martin is a former economics editor of The Canberra Times. This article was first published on The Conversation.